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Abrupt climate change : inevitable surprises / Committee on Abrupt Climate Change, Ocean Studies Board, Polar Research Board, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council.

Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextPublication details: Washington, D.C. : National Academy Press, 2002.Description: xii, 230 p. : ill. (some col.), maps (some col.) ; 24 cmISBN:
  • 0309074347
Subject(s): DDC classification:
  • 551.6 21
LOC classification:
  • QC981.8 .C5A26 2002
Online resources:
Contents:
Machine generated contents note: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 -- Improve the Fundamental Knowledge Base Related to -- Abrupt Climate Change, 2 -- Improve Modeling Focused on Abrupt Climate Change, 4 -- Improve Paleoclimatic Data Related to Abrupt Climate Change, 5 -- Improve Statistical Approaches, 7 -- Investigate "No-Regrets" Strategies to Reduce Vulnerability, 8 -- 1 INTRODUCTION TO ABRUPT CHANGES IN THE -- EARTH'S CLIMATE 10 -- Definition of Abrupt Climate Change, 14 -- Scientific Evidence, Processes, and Consequences for -- Society and Ecosystems, 15 -- The Charge to the Committee, 17 -- 2 EVIDENCE OF ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE 19 -- Interpretation of Past Climatic Conditions from Proxy Records, 19 -- The Younger Dryas as an Example of Abrupt Climate Change, 24 -- Abrupt Climate Changes Before the Younger Dryas Event, 36 -- Eemian Rapid Climate Change, 38 -- Holocene Rapid Climate Change, 40 -- Rapid Climate Changes in the Instrumental Period, 45 -- Patterns of Climate Variability, 48 -- Trends Recor4ed Instrumentally, 56 -- Synopsis of Observations, 69 -- 3 PROCESSES THAT CAUSE ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE 73 -- An Overview of Mechanisms, 74 -- Atmosphere, 80 -- Abrupt Climate Change and Thermohaline Circulation, 89 -- 4 GLOBAL WARMING AS A POSSIBLE TRIGGER FOR 107 -- ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE -- Changes in North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation, 108 -- Limited Predictability Close to an Instability, 111 -- Changes in Natural Modes of the Atmosphere-Ocean System, 112 -- Possible Future Abrupt Changes in the Hydrological Cycle, 113 -- Ice Sheet Changes, 114 -- Outlook, 115 -- 5 ECONOMIC AND ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF ABRUPT 118 -- CLIMATE CHANGE -- Recent Scientific Studies in the Ecological and Social Sciences, 120 -- Sectoral Approaches, 141 -- Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change, 149 -- 6 FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 153 -- Improve the Fundamental Knowledge Base Related to -- Abrupt Climate Change, 154 -- Improve Modeling Focused on Abrupt Climate Change, 159 -- Improve Paleoclimatic Data Related to Abrupt Climate Change, 161 -- Improve Statistical Approaches, 163 -- Investigate "No-Regrets" Strategies to Reduce Vulnerability, 164 -- Final Thoughts, 167 -- REFERENCES 168 -- APPENDIXES 203 -- A Committee and Staff Biographies, 203 -- B Board Rosters, 208 -- C Workshop Agenda, 212 -- D Workshop Participants, 214 -- E Impacts Workshop Program, 216 -- F Impacts Workshop Participants, 218 -- G Acronym List, 220 -- INDEX 223.
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Item type Current library Call number Copy number Status Date due Barcode
Books Books Earth Sciences and Engineering Library Collection General Collection QC981.8 .C5A26 2002 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) C. 1 Available 18420293

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Machine generated contents note: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 -- Improve the Fundamental Knowledge Base Related to -- Abrupt Climate Change, 2 -- Improve Modeling Focused on Abrupt Climate Change, 4 -- Improve Paleoclimatic Data Related to Abrupt Climate Change, 5 -- Improve Statistical Approaches, 7 -- Investigate "No-Regrets" Strategies to Reduce Vulnerability, 8 -- 1 INTRODUCTION TO ABRUPT CHANGES IN THE -- EARTH'S CLIMATE 10 -- Definition of Abrupt Climate Change, 14 -- Scientific Evidence, Processes, and Consequences for -- Society and Ecosystems, 15 -- The Charge to the Committee, 17 -- 2 EVIDENCE OF ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE 19 -- Interpretation of Past Climatic Conditions from Proxy Records, 19 -- The Younger Dryas as an Example of Abrupt Climate Change, 24 -- Abrupt Climate Changes Before the Younger Dryas Event, 36 -- Eemian Rapid Climate Change, 38 -- Holocene Rapid Climate Change, 40 -- Rapid Climate Changes in the Instrumental Period, 45 -- Patterns of Climate Variability, 48 -- Trends Recor4ed Instrumentally, 56 -- Synopsis of Observations, 69 -- 3 PROCESSES THAT CAUSE ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE 73 -- An Overview of Mechanisms, 74 -- Atmosphere, 80 -- Abrupt Climate Change and Thermohaline Circulation, 89 -- 4 GLOBAL WARMING AS A POSSIBLE TRIGGER FOR 107 -- ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE -- Changes in North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation, 108 -- Limited Predictability Close to an Instability, 111 -- Changes in Natural Modes of the Atmosphere-Ocean System, 112 -- Possible Future Abrupt Changes in the Hydrological Cycle, 113 -- Ice Sheet Changes, 114 -- Outlook, 115 -- 5 ECONOMIC AND ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF ABRUPT 118 -- CLIMATE CHANGE -- Recent Scientific Studies in the Ecological and Social Sciences, 120 -- Sectoral Approaches, 141 -- Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change, 149 -- 6 FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 153 -- Improve the Fundamental Knowledge Base Related to -- Abrupt Climate Change, 154 -- Improve Modeling Focused on Abrupt Climate Change, 159 -- Improve Paleoclimatic Data Related to Abrupt Climate Change, 161 -- Improve Statistical Approaches, 163 -- Investigate "No-Regrets" Strategies to Reduce Vulnerability, 164 -- Final Thoughts, 167 -- REFERENCES 168 -- APPENDIXES 203 -- A Committee and Staff Biographies, 203 -- B Board Rosters, 208 -- C Workshop Agenda, 212 -- D Workshop Participants, 214 -- E Impacts Workshop Program, 216 -- F Impacts Workshop Participants, 218 -- G Acronym List, 220 -- INDEX 223.

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